ECON20001 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: Fiscal Policy, Money Supply, Nominal Interest Rate

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27 Jul 2018
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IS-LM Model 3
Monetary/Fiscal Policy Interactions
In practice monetary policy involves interest-rate setting
Central bank changes money supply to maintain a target interest rate
MS adjusts endogenously as a result
EXAMPLE
High output (Y) means higher MD → upward pressure on i
CBA wants to adjust MS to return to original interest rate
MS increases so that i decreases
Policy Mixes
Tight = contractionary AND loose = expansionary
HOWARD-MACFARLANE POLICY MIX I
Fiscal deficit had become and increasing national debt → introduced tight fiscal policy
Implemented expansionary monetary policy in order to prevent output from falling as a result of
contractionary fiscal policy
Economy experienced mild growth and low interest rate
Fiscal Contraction
IS curve shifts left as G falls
Fall in G reduces Y directly and through multiplier effects
Monetary Expansion
LM curve shifts down as money supply (M) increases
Increase in M reduces i and increases I
Y increases as a result, as well as through multiplier effects
HOWARD-MACFARLANE POLICY MIX II
Demand for exports pushed out the IS curve
Both monetary and fiscal were contractionary to prevent economy from being overheated
RODD-STEVENS POLICY MIX
Shift of IS curve means output reduces largely
Expansionary fiscal and monetary helped to avoid an overall recession
GILLARD-STEVENS POLICY MIX
Decided to return fiscal budget to a surplus → contractionary (tight) fiscal policy
RBA cut interest rate to avoid significant output drop
Expansionary monetary policy combatted effects of tight fiscal
Effectiveness of Monetary and Fiscal Policy
Effectiveness refers to the effect of policy on output (Y)
Slopes determine whether policy mostly changes interest rates (i) or output (Y) → interest-
sensitivities
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Document Summary

In practice monetary policy involves interest-rate setting: central bank changes money supply to maintain a target interest rate, ms adjusts endogenously as a result. Example: high output (y) means higher md up(cid:449)a(cid:396)d p(cid:396)essu(cid:396)e o(cid:374) i, cba wants to adjust ms to return to original interest rate, ms increases so that i decreases. Fiscal deficit had become and increasing (cid:374)atio(cid:374)al de(cid:271)t i(cid:374)t(cid:396)odu(cid:272)ed tight fis(cid:272)al poli(cid:272)(cid:455) Implemented expansionary monetary policy in order to prevent output from falling as a result of contractionary fiscal policy: economy experienced mild growth and low interest rate. Fall in g reduces y directly and through multiplier effects. Lm curve shifts down as money supply (m) increases. Increase in m reduces i and increases i: y increases as a result, as well as through multiplier effects. Howard-macfarlane policy mix ii: demand for exports pushed out the is curve, both monetary and fiscal were contractionary to prevent economy from being overheated.

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