BAFI1002 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Real Interest Rate, Capital Outflow, Purchasing Power Parity

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blushspider196

18 Aug 2018

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Goi(cid:374)g (cid:862) hort(cid:863) selling a currency (cid:862)hit o(cid:374) the left(cid:863) bought commodity currency (cid:862)hit o(cid:374) the right(cid:863) sold commodity currency. Long position more foreign currency bought than sold. Short position more foreign currency sold than bought. Square position total bought = total sold. When a market maker has been: hit on the left bought commodity currency. To square their position they need to sell commodity currency: hit on the right sold commodity currency. To square their position they need to buy commodity currency. They have fx exposure in the long/short position. They need to bid/offer to attract sellers/buyers. Gold standard currency value based on country gold reserve. Gold was set at a fixed price. Us dollar fixed at per ounce of gold. All other currencies value based on gold and us dollar reserve. A country will run down its international reserves if it has to keep buying its own currency.

Related Questions

Multiple choices

1. Banks face liquidity risk because

A) they can have difficulty meeting their depositor's demands to withdraw money.

B) they are unable to borrow from the Federal Reserve.

C) households and businesses may seek to borrow a large number of funds in a short period of time.

D) governments tend to run high budget deficits.

2. The original intention of the Fed's role as lender of last resort was to make loans to banks that were

A) not illiquid nor insolvent.

B) illiquid, but not insolvent.

C) insolvent, but not illiquid.

D) both illiquid and insolvent.

3. Why might a nation seek to maintain a pegged exchange rate?

A) It makes business planning easier for firms involved in the global economy.

B) It removes the need to intervene in the foreign exchange market.

C) It ensures that the exchange rate will remain at its equilibrium.

D) It makes their currency more attractive on the foreign exchange market.

4. Suppose a country pegs its currency. If investors start to believe the peg will collapse and the currency is going to depreciate, as the government defends the peg the interest rate will

A) Not move as interest rates must remain constant in a peg

B) Increase to maintain the peg

C) Decrease to maintain the peg

D) It depends on the inflation rate is low or high compared to the country to which the currency is pegged.

5. When the Fed extends loans to depository institutions

A) increases the level of reserves.

B) it decreases the level of reserves.

C) it reduces the total value of the assets on its balance sheet.

D) it reduces the total value of the liabilities on its balance sheet.

6. If the Fed buys securities worth $10 million, then

A) bank reserves will increase by $10 million.

B) bank reserves will decrease by $10 million.

C) currency in circulation will increase by $10 million.

D) bank holdings of securities increased by $10 million.

7. If the Fed purchases $1 million in securities from the nonbank public, the monetary base will rise by $1 million

A) if the public holds the proceeds as currency.

B) if the public deposits the proceeds as checkable deposits.

C) if the public deposits the proceeds with the Treasury in a monetary base account.

D) whether the public holds the proceeds as currency or deposits them as checkable deposits.

8. The aggregate M1 consists of

A) currency plus all deposits in financial institutions.

B) currency plus savings deposits in financial institutions.

C) currency plus checkable deposits in financial institutions.

D) currency.

9. If the Fed purchases $1 million worth of securities and the required reserve ratio is 8%, by how much will deposits increase (assuming no change in excess reserves or the public's currency holdings)?

A) rise by $1 million

B) decline by $1 million

C) rise by $8 million

D) rise by $12.5 million

10. Suppose the required reserve ratio is 8% and the Fed purchases $100 million worth of Treasury bills from Wells Fargo. Suppose Wells Fargo didn't have excess reserves, then by how much is Wells Fargo able to increase its loans?

A) $8 million

B) $92 million

C) $100 million

D) $1.25 billion

11. If banks hold no excess reserves, checkable deposits total $1.5 billion, currency totals $400 million, and the required reserve ratio is 10%, then the monetary base equals

A) $550 million.

B) $1.54 billion.

C) $1.9 billion

D) $15 billion.

ultramarinehornet6

QUESTION 46

When the Fed buys a U.S. bond in the open market

		its action has no effect on the total reserves or the money supply because the check it writes increases reserves at one bank but they fall at another.
		its action expands total reserves and the money supply.
		its action contracts total reserves and the money supply.
		total reserves increase by the amount of the purchase but the money supply stays the same.

1.11 points

QUESTION 47

When the Fed sells government securities,

		reserves increase, leading to a decrease in the money supply by an amount more than the sale of the government securities.
		reserves decrease, leading to a decrease in the money supply by an amount more than the sale of the government securities.
		reserves increase, leading to a increase in the money supply by an amount more than the sale of the government securities.
		reserves decrease, leading to a increase in the money supply by an amount more than the sale of the government securities.

1.11 points

QUESTION 48

The maximum potential money multiplier is equal to

		the reserve ratio.
		one minus the reserve ratio
		the inverse of the required reserve ratio.
		the number of dollars on reserve.

1.11 points

QUESTION 49

The potential money multiplier gives us

		the growth in the money supply when income increases.
		the growth in real national income when the money supply increases.
		the maximum potential change in the money supply due to a change in income.
		the maximum potential change in the money supply due to a change in reserves.

1.11 points

QUESTION 50

An increase in the reserve ratio

		increases the money multiplier.
		will cause banks to make more loans.
		has an expansionary effect on the money supply.
		has a contractionary effect on the money supply.

1.11 points

QUESTION 51

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insures

		banks against lawsuits.
		the deposits held in member banks.
		the deposits held in the Fed.
		the federal funds market.

1.11 points

QUESTION 52

Bank runs are a possibility because

		in difficult times people want currency instead of demand deposits.
		the FDIC is inefficient.
		banks do not keep enough reserves to cover all their depository liabilities.
		bankers are often poor businesspeople.

1.11 points

QUESTION 53

The manner in which FDIC deposit insurance is set up in the United States encourages banks to

		make riskier loans than they otherwise would.
		reject some loans that probably would be profitable.
		maintain excess reserves that are too great.
		be too conservative in their lending practices.

1.11 points

QUESTION 54

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation

		discourages banks from engaging in excessive risk taking.
		was established after the Panic of 1907.
		only insures deposits in money-center banks.
		increases the stability of the banking system by reducing the likelihood of bank runs.

1.11 points

QUESTION 55

What are the two features of money that distinguish it from all other goods in the economy?

		Money is government issued and it is redeemable for gold or silver.
		Money is part of every barter transaction and it is divisible.
		Money is accepted as a medium of exchange and it is the common unit of account used to express prices.
		Money is a common unit of account and it is also can be traded for other currencies at a guaranteed exchange rate.

1.11 points

QUESTION 56

Holding money to meet unplanned expenditures and emergencies is known as

		asset demand.
		precautionary demand.
		aggregate demand.
		transactions demand.

1.11 points

QUESTION 57

When people want to hold money to make regular planned expenditures, this is

		the transaction demand for money.
		the spending demand for money.
		the asset demand for money.
		the precautionary demand for money.

1.11 points

QUESTION 58

When interest rates rise, the transactions demand for money usually

		decreases.
		increases.
		decreases initially and then increases to the original position.
		does not change.

1.11 points

QUESTION 59

As nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rises, the transactions demand for money

		increases, and the money demand curve shifts to the right.
		remains constant, and the money demand curve remains the same.
		decreases, and the money demand curve shifts to the left.
		increases, and the money demand curve shifts to the left.

1.11 points

QUESTION 60

One of the economic costs of holding currency is that

		it fulfills no precautionary role.
		it fulfills no transactions role.
		it earns no interest income.
		its real value always increases.

blacktrout920

Please read the article and answer these questions. Thanks.

Article:

TESTING THE GLOBAL CENTRAL BANK SWAP NETWORK

In the last few weeks, the ECB has been drawing on its liquidity swap line with the Fed, first $308 million for a week, then $658 million for a week, and last week back down to $358 million. Whatâs that about?

Itâs not such a large amount. Bank of Japan borrowed more in the past, $810 million in March and $1528 million in January. But the question then repeats, what was that about?

Both of these drawings are part of the new set of central bank swap lines linking what I call the C6: the Fed, ECB, Bank of Japan, Bank of England, Swiss National Bank, and Bank of Canada. On October 31, 2013these lines were made permanent and unlimited; contract details may be found here. Ever since then I have had a slide in my powerpoints saying âForget the G7, Watch the C6.â

So now weâre watching. What are we seeing?

Central bank swaps are in some ways quite similar to a standard commercial FX swap, but the differences are important and significant.

A standard swap involves exchange of two currencies today at the spot exchange rate prevailing today, plus a promise to reverse the transaction at maturity using the forward exchange rate prevailing today. Suppose that forward rate is calculated using covered interest parity as

F = S(1+r)/(1+r*)

where r and r* are respectively the dollar and foreign interest rate for a given term T, s is the spot exchange rate and f is the forward exchange rate for date T.

In this case, the exposure of the standard swap contract is identical to a swap of IOUs between the contracting parties at the prevailing interest rates in their respective currencies. One party borrows dollars at rate r and the other party borrows euros at the rate r*.

Central bank swaps are different. First, the forward rate in the contract is usually exactly the same as the current spot exchange rate. This means that central banks are never in the position of realizing profits or losses from the swap (although of course there will be implicit profits and losses), that come from deviation between the agreed forward rate and the spot rate at expiry.

Second, the interest rate on the contract is negotiated rather than calculated from market prices. But, given the choice of forward rate, the analogous commercial contract would call for payment of the interest differential, so anything different from that is significant. Significantly, the documentation of the current C6 swap line leaves open the question of who pays interest to who, and how much.

Usual practice has been for the party who draws on the line to pay interest on the line at some penalty rate. Thus the May 9, 2010 swap agreement between the Fed and ECB called for the ECB to pay the USD Overnight Index Swap Rate plus 100 basis points on its dollar borrowing, and the Fed to pay nothing on its euro borrowing. In effect, the ECB was simply borrowing dollars at the discount window, like any other bank, but with its own monetary liability serving as collateral instead of some financial asset.

This kind of arrangement is still in effect a swap of IOUs but at a price that is away from the market. Central bank swap lines thus in effect operate as a kind of outside spread providing bounds within which normal commercial dealing takes place. So long as prices stay at or near CIP, private agents prefer to do business directly with each other. But when CIP comes under pressure, because of one-sided liquidity flows, the central bank moves from backstop to market-maker and the outside price becomes the market price.

The ECB is borrowing dollars from the Fed and lending them on to banks in Europe who have dollar liquidity needs. Here is the tender documentation. Presumably it is doing this for banks who are unable, for whatever reason, to access dollar funding in the open market, or only at a premium that is higher than the ECB charges.

During the financial crisis, dollar funding needs like this got met by central bank liquidity swaps that rose almost to $600 billion, raising questions in Congress. Now, in normal times, smaller sums are becoming a routine way of handling the normal stresses and strains of world funding flows.

For lack of a world central bank, we have a network of central bank liquidity swaps.

(Council on Foreign Relations has a fun interactive app that shows the rest of the emerging swap network as well.)

Questions:

2. Forward rates in standard swaps are set relative to spot rates to eliminate arbitrage opportunities. Using a numerical example, demonstrate that an arbitrage opportunity would exist if a forward exchange rate quote differed from the formula given in Mehrlingâs article.

3. How do swap lines between central banks differ from standard foreign exchange swap contracts? How are forward rates set? How are interest rates determined?

4. Why would a commercial bank borrow foreign currency from its own central bank, rather than using a foreign exchange swap for the purpose?

BAFI1002 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Real Interest Rate, Capital Outflow, Purchasing Power Parity

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