FINS2624 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Spot Contract, Iterative Method, Yield Curve

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18 May 2018
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2 Term Structure of Interest Rates
T-period spot rate interest rate today for a t-period investment & no cash flows over
investment period eept for at aturit (also ko as zero rate’)
Use t-period spot rate to determine price of a t-period bond
Use this price to determine the YTM of the t-period bond
Values only the same in the case of zero-coupon bonds
Term Structure: Relationship between spot rates & horizons (aka pure’ yield curve)
Price of a t-year zero coupon bond is given by:
Iteratie ethod for solig spot rates oer ultiple periods is ko as bootstrapping’
Using y1 to find y2, y2 to find y3 etc
Forward Rates: Interest rates for investments agreed upon today but take place in future
Determining multi-period forward rate:
Expectations Hypothesis: Market expectations on future interest rates determine the
spot rates over different horizons
Term structure is typically upward sloping
Unlikely to be true most of the time EH explains only part of term structure
Liquidity Preference Hypothesis: Issuers prefer longer-term bonds than investors
Liquidity premium necessary to induce short-term investors to hold long-term bonds
Results in higher yields for long-term bonds upward-sloping term structure
Could also e geeralized as the preferred haitat theor
Assuming investor preferences could go either way
Likely that both theories are at work, so that:
If investors prefer longer horizon, L should be negative to induce investment in
shorter horizons
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Document Summary

T-period spot rate interest rate today for a t-period investment & no cash flows over investment period e(cid:454)(cid:272)ept for at (cid:373)aturit(cid:455) (also k(cid:374)o(cid:449)(cid:374) as (cid:858)zero rate") Use t-period spot rate to determine price of a t-period bond: use this price to determine the ytm of the t-period bond, values only the same in the case of zero-coupon bonds. Term structure: relationship between spot rates & horizons (aka (cid:858)pure" yield curve) Price of a t-year zero coupon bond is given by: Iterati(cid:448)e (cid:373)ethod for sol(cid:448)i(cid:374)g spot rates o(cid:448)er (cid:373)ultiple periods is k(cid:374)o(cid:449)(cid:374) as (cid:858)bootstrapping": using y1 to find y2, y2 to find y3 etc. Forward rates: interest rates for investments agreed upon today but take place in future. Expectations hypothesis: market expectations on future interest rates determine the spot rates over different horizons: term structure is typically upward sloping, unlikely to be true most of the time eh explains only part of term structure. Assuming investor preferences could go either way.

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