PHLA10H3 Lecture Notes - Lecture 13: Sophist, Sunk Costs, Ad Hominem
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The hipster argument is strong but not cogent. The taylor argument has true premises, but it is weak and thus not cogent. Every swan i have ever seen is white. True premises + true premises = probably true (conclusion) Test positive for a disease with a 1/1000 instance rate in the general population. Test has no false negatives, but does have false positives. Answer: the 1 person who has it + 5% of the 1000 who don"t = 51. You have less than 2% likelihood of having the diseases. The sunk cost fallacy and the gamblers fallacy. Come down to the kitchen, see mouse trap is triggered, cheese is gone o the mouse trap, see cereal and other food all over the kitchen counter. What possible reason: di erent animal b, earthquake - heavy sleeper. Special the of amplatative reasoning: also called: inference to the best explanation, given an explanation is the best, we infer that it must be true.
