CAS IR 365 Lecture Notes - Lecture 10: Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Aaron Friedberg, John Mearsheimer

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China"s rise: why is it real: overview, establishing china"s rise, measurements and definition, economy, trade, diplomacy, military. Economic changes: social-economic growth inside china, economy weight: gdp, 10% annual real growth since 1979, social transformation: wuxiu overwhelming pace, personal freedom. Industry/infrastructure: position in the world economy, ration of trade, bilateral trade, economic relations in africa, la, me: investment, trade, infrastructure. Multilateralism: from high church of real politik to champion of multilateralism. Military modernization: military spending, 1995-2013, figure 1 (absolute increase), prc official defense budgets compared to the us government, 1996-2009, figure 2 (relative rise), military modernization, 2000-2010 (quality of increase) This time should be different: china"s rise in a globalized world: when great powers rise, there is often trouble. The examples are both numerous and horrific: modern german history, rise of japan, rise of america: monroe doctrine us-spanish war, parallel today: china, japan, vietnam, the phillippines, all nationalist, aaron friedberg: china extruding the us in asia.

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