POLS 1301 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Critical Phenomena, Spiral Model, Observational Error

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Exploring the bargaining model of war by dan reiter. War is not a separate entity from politics. War an event involving the organized use of force by at least two parties that satisfies some minimum level of severity. War is not: spontaneous, disorganized violence: mass killings against a non-violent group e. g. genocide a case of brief or minor clashes. Assumption: fighting is costly and two states would always prefer to bargain without fighting. Issue indivisibilities when items cannot be divided up (least likely explanation) 1: problems of credible commitment when states cannot promise to not use force in the future. Two forms of studying bargaining: formal study: precise and mathematical but over-simplified. Informal study: the ability to terminate war is bargaining. Peace lasts longer after longer wars stable post-war peace: battles reveal information about the other side, readjustment of goods consistent with a new understanding of the distribution of power.

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