PHI 234 Lecture Notes - Lecture 11: Statistical Inference
Week 11 Climate Change
Oreskes
Thesis: We ought to believe that global warming is caused by humans
We ought to eliee that Earth’s risig teperature is aused y huas.
Because
a. That’s the sietifi osesus
b. You ought to believe the scientific consensus, when it adheres to good
scientific practices
c. The scientific consensus in this case adheres to good scientific
practices
Statistical inference: take a sample from a population and generalize to the
wider population
Hypothetico-deductive method: propose a hypothesis, it predicts certain
outoes, if it’s true, the suh ad suh should follo ad happe. The
you take some observations, then if you observe those predictions, then you
confirm that hypothesis.
Falsification: makes certain predictions, take some observations, that thing
did’t happe, theory predited did’t our, falsify a hypothesis y shoig
hat it predits does’t atually our
Inference to the best explanation: the hypothesis with the best explanation
for it is the one that most likely to be true
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Document Summary
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