ATM_SC 1050 Midterm: Exam Unit 4 Study Guide at Mizzou
Document Summary
Predicting how the present state of the atmosphere will change over a period of time. Time scales associated with forecasting: now casting: present - 6 hours, short range: 1-3 days, medium range: 3-5 days, long range: 5-10 days, extended: up to 90 days. Tell you how to dress: warm or cold, sunny or rainy. Agricultural information: planting crops, harvesting crops. Folklore forecasting: accurate versions, weather rhymes (red sky at night, when leaves show their undersides, be very sure that rain betides . Not accurate examples: groundhog day, stupid animal things. Persistence: what happened yesterday will likely happen today, accuracy will depend largely on the weather patterns and your location, works best in tropics, works okay if the weather pattern is blocked. Climatology: the long term average of weather conditions are used to predict the weather for a given day, while weather does change often, climatology.