BA 30310 Quiz: Foresight Quiz 2 Part 2

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22 May 2018
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Foresight Quiz #2
Three Types of Research in Foresight Intelligence Gathering:
o 1. Background Research:
identifying and evaluating experts and published works includes:
Historical Analysis:
timeline mapping
The farther ak ou an look, the farther forward ou are likel
to see
o looking at the past (eras, trends, issues)
Involves timeline mapping
o 2. Trend Analysis:
analyze data and make a forecast for 10 years
make baseline forecast
Analyze and make conclusions based on trends
Think about the measurement that will show the impact on our topic
measurement by which you can answer the central question
o 3. Uncertainty Assessment:
assessing the epert’s opinions regarding the potential disruptions in the
system and the level of impact, focused outreach, crowdsourcing
how disruptive is the transition from one era to another
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