BA 30310 Quiz: Foresight Quiz 2 Part 2
Foresight Quiz #2
● Three Types of Research in Foresight Intelligence Gathering:
o 1. Background Research:
▪ identifying and evaluating experts and published works →includes:
▪ Historical Analysis:
● timeline mapping
● The farther ak ou an look, the farther forward ou are likel
to see
o looking at the past (eras, trends, issues)
● Involves timeline mapping
o 2. Trend Analysis:
▪ analyze data and make a forecast for 10 years
● make baseline forecast
▪ Analyze and make conclusions based on trends
▪ Think about the measurement that will show the impact on our topic
● measurement by which you can answer the central question
o 3. Uncertainty Assessment:
▪ assessing the epert’s opinions regarding the potential disruptions in the
system and the level of impact, focused outreach, crowdsourcing
● how disruptive is the transition from one era to another
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