ECON10003 Chapter Notes - Chapter 9: Potential Output, Demand Shock, Observational Error

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Aggregate demand and supply model: the aggregate demand aggregate supply model. Inflation inertia: in low-inflation industrial economies, inflation tends to change relatively slowly, public(cid:495)s inflation expectations. In negotiating future wages and prices both buyers and sellers take inflation into account. Inflation increases does not exceed the nominal wage/price increase real wage/price actually increases: the higher the expected rate of inflation the more nominal wages and the cost of other inputs will tend to rise. If inflation has been low and stable for some time people are likely to expect it to continue to be low, vice versa expectations will likewise tend to be volatile: long-term wage/price contracts. Firms have no incentive either to reduce or increase their prices relative to the prices of other goods no inflation changes: expansionary gap, actual output > potential output. Inflation increases: contractionary gap, actual output < potential output. If the inflation is rising faster than the expectation, the as curve shifts upwards/to the left.

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