POLI 243 Chapter Hermann: 13. Explaining FP Behavior Using Personal Characteristics of Political Leaders

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Explaining FP Behavior Using Personal Characteristics of Political Leaders
Margaret G. Hermann
Aggressive leaders high in need for power, low in conceptual complexity, distrustful of others,
nationalistic, and likely to believe that they have control over events in which they are involved
Conciliatory leaders high in need for affiliation, high in conceptual complexity, trusting of others,
low in nationalism, likely to have little belief in own ability to control events in which they are
involved
Conceptual Scheme
Characteristics chosen are seen to have had an impact in FP in previous studies
Fall under four broad types of personal characteristics:
o Beliefs -- political leader's fundamental assumptions about world
Is conflict basic to human interaction? Is national sovereignty and superiority most
important objective of a nation?
Affect leader's interpretation of his environment and his strategies
Two beliefs that fall under this category: nationalism and belief in one's own ability to
control events
o Motives -- why a leader is doing what he/she is doing
Need for power most discussed motive
Others: need for affiliation and need for approval
Affect interpretations of their environment and strategies
Need for power and need for affiliation most important
o decision style -- preferred methods of making decisions
How do they make decisions and approach policy-making tasks?
Components: openness to new info, preference of certain levels of risk, complexity in
structuring and processing info, ability to tolerate ambiguity
Discuss conceptual complexity -- complexity in structuring and processing info
Influences how aggressive leaders are in FP
o interpersonal style -- ways in which leaders deal with other leaders
Paranoia: excessive suspiciousness
Machiavellianism: unscrupulous, manipulative behavior
Two traits related to having a warfare personality
Combative in nature
Discuss suspiciousness/distrust in others
With regard to decision style and interpersonal style, assumption that leader will generally engage
in similar, stylistic behavior regardless of arena
Style first difference when head of gov't change
o From making all decisions to letting bureaucracy make them
Aggressive leader
o Need to manipulate and control others
o Little ability to consider a range of alternatives
o Suspiciousness of others' motives
o High interest in maintaining national identity and sovereignty
o Willingness to initiate action
o Independent FP -- keep their contact w/ others limited
Conciliatory leader
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o Need to establish friendly relationships w/ others
o Ability to consider wide range of alternatives
o Little suspiciousness of others' motives
o No huge concern w/ maintenance of national identity and sovereignty
o Little interest in initiating action
o More participatory FP -- sensitive and responsive to others' interests
Interest in foreign affairs -- enhances effect of leader's characteristics on gov't policy
o Acts as a motivating force and leads to increased participation in FP
o Reason for interest predetermines course of action
Values good external relations, fears enemy takeover, etc
Training in foreign affairs -- diminish leader's characteristics on gov't policy
o Leader w/ little to no training has no expertise
o No previous experience to suggest possible alternatives or plans
o As a result, his natural predisposition comes into play
o One who has much expertise has developed styles and strategies for dealing w/ FP
particular to issue and/or target nation
o Less dependence on his underlying predispositions
Measurement of Personal Characteristics
Procedure and Subjects
Content analysis used to assess personal characteristics
Content analyzed consisted of responses to reporters' questions
Press interviews chosen bc has most spontaneous public material
o Important bc minimizes planned writing/communication
o Speeches written by someone else and trying to convey a specific image
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