PSYB10H3 Chapter Notes - Chapter 2: Hindsight Bias, Convenience Sampling, Cognitive Dissonance

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27 Nov 2018
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Hindsight bias = tendency to believe that you could have predicted some outcome which in fact you couldn"t have predicted accurately. When you have to predict the results of studies and then find out what they are you avoid hindsight bias. Kind of like saying i knew it . To view the past as more predictable than it was at the time. Thinking through how you would test a given idea can lead you to new hypotheses > thought experiment. Hypothesis = a prediction about what will happen under particular circumstances. Theory= a body of related propositions intended to describe some aspect of the world. Hypothesis of social psychological theory > is person a likes person b, who dislikes person. C, person a will either come to dislike person c or begin to dislike person b. Balance theory = people like their thoughts to be consistent with one another and will do concrete mental work to achieve such cognitive consistency.

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