ECON 463 Chapter Notes - Chapter 1-4: Exact Sciences

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15 Jun 2018
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I do not believe there are any, or at least not many, mutually exclusive
viewpoints in economics."
I may agree with you on this, I'm not sure. If I pull a definition of economics
off the internet, like "the scientific study of human action, particularly as it
relates to human choice and the utilization of scarce resources," then there is
this troublesome word "choice" in there. I believe everything in the world is
100% mathematical and deterministic with the exception of this one thing, human
"choice" (and God's choices, for that matter, but let's not go there for the
time being).
If it weren't for this choice bit, then theoretically we could distill economics
down to an exact science, build supercomputers to observe the movement of every
particle of the universe, and thereby predict the future with exactness. But
because of human choice, we can never do that, unless we believe that human
choice is an illusion and is actually mathematical itself.
If human choice is not mathematical, then economics is more about observation
and creating opinions based on those observations. "When X happens, then people
tend to react in Y fashion." But past returns are no guarantee of future
results, so this is an inexact science at best, and therefore apparently
mutually exclusive perspectives may both be correct, or partially correct and
partially wrong, or all wrong, or anywhere along the spectrum, and then again
who has the capacity to judge whether they are right or wrong? Hence the room
for much ongoing disagreement that can't be proven one way or the other. For
example, it would be easy for one person to say "Economies perform better when
decentralized," and then point to several economies that were centralized, then
became decentralized, and performed better as a result. But another person could
state the opposite and find evidence to back up their point of view. We deal
with extremely limited data so it's difficult to say one way or the other, and
even if we had much more data, there's still that human choice factor that comes
in and messes everything up.
On the question of good and evil yes, I do believe they are discrete, but to
discuss that matter we would have to agree on definitions of what the words good
and evil mean which can be troublesome depending on the opinions of those
discussing the matter.
"I disagree that Krugman's views and Austrian views are mutually exclusive ON
ALL THINGS. "
I don't believe that either. They may agree on most things, but then again we
share most of our DNA with fruit flies.
I can't say I "know" anything with certainty about economics. I have my beliefs
based on my limited knowledge and experience. That context leads me to agree
more with Hayek than with Keynes, although my economic views actually have less
to do with what I think is economically best for individuals or society, and
more to do with good and evil. I believe it is evil for one person to force
another to do anything, with rare exceptions. Even if it could be proven that
people are economically better off when forced by the more intelligent among us
to do certain things, I would still be opposed to it on moral grounds. That's
why I'm attracted to free market economics and repelled by anything that smacks
of centralized planning, and therefore I tend to call free market economists
"good" and economists who advocate anything akin to centralized planning as
"bad."
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