ARBC 106b Chapter Notes - Chapter 1: Interest Rate Parity, Fisher Hypothesis, Spot Contract

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12 Dec 2019
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Chapter 8 |relationships among inflation, interest rates and exchange rates. Purchasing power parity (ppp) theory specifies a precise relationship between relative inflation rates of two countries and their exchange rate. Absolute form of ppp: without international barriers, consumers shift their demand to wherever prices are lower. Prices of the same basket of products in two different countries should be equal when currency measured in common. In inexact terms, ppp theory suggests that the equilibrium exchange rate will adjust by the same magnitude as the differential in inflation rates between two countries. Though ppp continues to be a valuable concept, there is evidence of sizable deviations from the theory in the real world. A change in a country"s spot rate is driven by more than the inflation differential between two countries: Since the exchange rate movement is not driven solely by inf, the relationship between the inflation differential and exchange rate movement cannot be as simple as the ppp theory suggests.

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