1303AFE Lecture Notes - Lecture 9: Deflation, Monetary Policy, Potential Output

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Week 9 Economics for decision making lecture notes
Monetary Policy
Objective
Statement on the conduct of Monetary Policy
o The Reserve Bank and the Government agree on the goal of keeping
consumer price inflation between 2 and 3 per cent, on average, over the
business cycle
o Known as INLFATION TARGETING
Rationale for an Inflation- Control Target
Two main benefits flow from adopting an inflation-control target
o The reserve ak’s poliy atios are ore learly uderstood y fiaial
market traders, so that savers and investors experience fewer surprises and
make fewer mistakes
o The target provides an anchor for expectations about future inflation
Controversy about the inflation- control targeting
Critics argue that, by focusing on inflation, the Reserve Bank might raise the interest
rate, lower investment and exports and with a multiplier effect decrease aggregate
demand and push the economy into recession
Supporters say that, by keeping inflation low and stable, monetary policy makes it
maximum possible contribution towards achieving full employment and sustained
economic growth
The conduct of Monetary Policy
What is the Reserve Bak’s oetary poliy tools?
o Cash rate
How does the Reserve Bank make its policy decision?
o By using the inflation target rule ( around 2-3% a year)
How does the Reserve Bank implement its policy?
o When the Reserve Bank wants to slow inflation, it raises the cash rate
o When the inflation rate is below target and the Reserve Bank wants to avoid
recession, it lowers the cash rate
Monetary Policy in Action
When the Reserve Bank implements monetary policy by changing the cash rate,
events ripple through the economy and lead to the ultimate policy goals
Two types of Monetary Policy:
o EXPANSION Monetary policy
o CONTRACTION Monetary policy
Expansionary Monetary Policy
The Reserve Bank Fights recession
o If inflation is below target and real GDP is below potential GDP, the Reserve
Bank takes actions that are designed to restore full employment
o Such action is referred to as Expansionary (Ease) Monetary Policy
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