ECON1010 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Fisher Hypothesis, Economic Equilibrium, Seigniorage

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Lecture 8
INFLATION
Inflation is an increase in the overall level of prices.
Deflation is a decrease in the overall price level.
Hyperinflation is an extraordinarily high rate of inflation.
CAUSES OF INFLATION
If P is the price of goods and services, measured in terms of money, then 1/P is the value of money
measured in terms of goods and services.
When the overall price level rises, the value of money falls.
The demand and supply of money determine the value of money.
What is the easiest ay to eate high iflatio?
Milto Fieda Iflatio is alays ad eeyhee a oetay pheoeo.
What does he mean?
The quantity theory of money is used to explain the long-run determinants of the price level and the
inflation rate.
MONEY SUPPLY
The money supply is a policy variable that is controlled by the central bank.
Through instruments such as open-market operations, the central bank directly controls the quantity
of money supplied by the banking system.
Note that the RBA no longer targets the money supply. The RBA now targets interest rates and
inflation.
MONEY DEMAND
Money demand has several determinants, including interest rates and the average level of prices in
the economy.
People hold money because it is the medium of exchange.
The amount of money people choose to hold depends on the prices of goods and services.
THE CLASSICAL DICHOTOMY AND MONETARY NEUTRALITY
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Nominal variables are variables measured in monetary units.
Real variables are variables measured in constant units.
This separation is the classical dichotomy.
According to the classical dichotomy, different forces influence real and nominal variables.
Real economic variables do not change with changes in the money supply.
Changes in the money supply affect nominal variables but not real variables.
The irrelevance of monetary changes for real variables is called monetary neutrality.
QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY
The velocity of money refers to the speed at which the typical dollar bill travels around the economy
from wallet to wallet.
Velocity (V) = nominal GDP (P × Y) / money supply (M)
The quantity equation:
M V = P Y
VELOCITY AND THE QUANTITY EQUATION
The quantity equation shows that an increase in the quantity of money in an economy must be
reflected in one of the three other variables:
the price level must rise
the quantity of output must rise, or
the velocity of money must fall.
Explaining the equilibrium price level, inflation rate and the quantity theory of money:
Assume the velocity of money is relatively stable over time.
When the central bank changes the quantity of money, it causes proportionate changes in
the nominal value of output (P Y).
Because money is neutral, money does not affect output.
When the central bank alters the money supply, these changes are reflected in prices.
Therefore, when the central bank increases the money supply rapidly, the result is a high rate of
inflation.
MONEY NEUTRALITY
The figure shows that velocity of money is relatively stable over time
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Document Summary

Inflation is an increase in the overall level of prices: deflation is a decrease in the overall price level, hyperinflation is an extraordinarily high rate of inflation. The demand and supply of money determine the value of money. What is the (cid:858)easiest(cid:859) (cid:449)ay to (cid:272)(cid:396)eate high i(cid:374)flatio(cid:374): milto(cid:374) f(cid:396)ied(cid:373)a(cid:374) (cid:858)i(cid:374)flatio(cid:374) is al(cid:449)ays a(cid:374)d e(cid:448)e(cid:396)y(cid:449)he(cid:396)e a (cid:373)o(cid:374)eta(cid:396)y phe(cid:374)o(cid:373)e(cid:374)o(cid:374). (cid:859) The quantity theory of money is used to explain the long-run determinants of the price level and the inflation rate. The money supply is a policy variable that is controlled by the central bank. Through instruments such as open-market operations, the central bank directly controls the quantity of money supplied by the banking system: note that the rba no longer targets the money supply. The rba now targets interest rates and inflation. Money demand: money demand has several determinants, including interest rates and the average level of prices in the economy. People hold money because it is the medium of exchange.

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