ECON 3P03 Lecture Notes - Dividend Discount Model, Stock Valuation, Discounting

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The stock market, rational expectations, and the efficient markets hypothesis. Expectations are important in every sector and market in the economy. This is certainly the case in stock valuation. Where is the required rate of return on equity-typically higher that bond yields. Fortunately, an approximate valuation of the term in possible by ignoring the last term in equation (1). The approximation is very close when one takes a long string of future dividends into consideration. Then, the discount factor for the final price (pn) is a very high number, and its present value is trivial. This approximation is known as the generalized dividend model and is written as (2) The price of a stock according to this approximation is equal to the present value of an infinite stream of dividends using a discount rate that is appropriate for stocks. Equation (2) is still very different to compute because it requires forecasts of dividends into the indefinite future.

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