PHIL 2301 Lecture : PHIL 2301 - Lecture #4.docx

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Example: there are two types of caps in the city: green and blue. There was a crime committed in one of the cabs and a witness stated that the cap was blue. How often is the witness correct: 75, >75, <75% d) What the probability represents here is: degree of belief (is it true or false) Pr(c|w) -> this is the probably that the cab was green given that it is was blue. Pr(w|c) -> what is the probability that the cab was blue given that it was green.

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