BIOL 210 Lecture Notes - Lecture 23: Odds Ratio, Autism, Pseudoscience

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Ioannadis - once a paper yields a positive results, what are the odds the second paper will find the same results: points out the factors reducing the likelihood, web of science: can see which papers are retracted. Jan hendrik schon: publishing in good journals (science/nature) In the real world: don"t have completely identical graphs from different experiments: didn"t want to give away his raw data, but has never said "yes all my data was invented" - claims his computer crashed. When he looks at raw data: can"t replicate correlation that brown (his first author) found, finds: *independent study found it made no sense later on - was eventually retracted. Looks good on web of science: *link between vaccines and childhood autism, an article that"s accepted saying there"s a link: people panic, when it"s retracted: thinks they have something to hide *paranoia goes really far*

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