POLSCI 3Q03 Lecture Notes - Lecture 8: Preemptive War, Preventive War, Wield

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Creative element as long as it"s reasonable. Weak argument is a gets it and b has problems attack it: then mention your theory why it"s important. Point out attributes and limitation: anticipate trade-offs and how you make that choice. Warnings heard in uk but laughed at: misconception long range missile and worrying about losing ships etc, once they could reach american cities from home that was good enough. Underestimation of hostility of an adversary"s intentions less common: falklands/malvinas war, difficult to counter forms of misperception which can affect assessments of intentions, misperception of an adversary"s interests, soviet ballistic missile submarines. Mirror-imaging": adversary"s view of the future, some cases another country view of future is important than the present. They saw war almost started a war. Mid 60s people borrowed theory form psychology. Realist faced with problem: conceive theory doesn"t explain case s, flaw with theory.

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