GEOG 1050 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Demographic Transition, Population Ageing, Pension

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Many demographers believe that fertility and mortality are directly tied to the level of economic development of a country, region, or place; Demographic transition theory is a model of population change in which higher birth and death rates are replaced by low birth and death rates: demographic transition model (dtm) Natural increase: stable or slow increase. Reasons for change in birth rate: many children needed for farming many children die at an early age. Reasons for changes in death rate: disease, famine,. Reasons for change in birth rate: same. Improvements in medical care, water supply, and sanitation, fewer children die. Reasons for change in death rate: same. Birth rate : dtm limitations. European centric model, based on european experiences; assumes all counties will follow same trajectory; Does not account for impact of infectious diseases (i. e. hiv/aids); E(cid:373)phasizes eco(cid:374)o(cid:373)ic cha(cid:374)ge, while ig(cid:374)ori(cid:374)g policy cha(cid:374)ge (i. e. chi(cid:374)a"s 1 child.

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