POLS 230 Lecture Notes - Lecture 22: Defensively Equipped Merchant Ship, Stormy Daniels, Political Positions Of Donald Trump

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But this still means theres a 60 something disapproval rating. Average loss of house seats for incumbent party is 25 (1948-2014) Avg loss of house seats democrats need in 2018 is 23. 37 seats open due to republican retirements. Point of view of democratic strategists- looking to flip seats held by republicans but where hillary won- 23 seats in that category alone. Highly educated voters, suburban voters, women- again. These districts are going to get special attention from the dnc + dccc. At the same time there are 12 seats held by democrats where trump won. Ca(cid:374)"t forget that they still (cid:374)eed to defe(cid:374)d the seats they had. Environmental factors that appear to favor democrats for 2018. Gerrymandering: manipulating electoral boundaries in favor of one party. Democrats are usually the ones disadvantaged by gerrymandering. Governor eldridge gerry was really good at adjusting the boundaries of his district to his advantage.

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