ECN 204 Lecture Notes - Edmund Phelps, Phillips Curve, Aggregate Supply

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Chapter 16: the short run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. Phillips curve: a curve that shows the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. Negative correlation: phillips showed that years with low unemployment tend to have high inflation and years with high unemployment tend to have low inflation. Aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and the phillips curve. The phillips curve shows the combinations of inflation and unemployment that arise in the short run as shifts in the aggregate demand curve move the economy along the short run aggregate supply curve. A: aggregate demand is low, small increase in p (low inflation) and low output, high unemployment. B: aggregate demand is high, big increase in p (high inflation) and high output, low unemployment. If aggregate demand next year is low (slow money growth) then outcome a will occur. P = 103 next year, so the inflation rate from this year to next equals 3%.

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