AUPSY 263 Lecture Notes - Lecture 25: Belief Perseverance, Sample Size Determination, Junkers D.I

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Consider a story about a restaurant assessment based on a single meal chosen by one person. Now imagine that the person dropped his or her pencil on the meal to pick that particular meal. Sample size training if we teach people to understand the importance of sample size and larger sample sizes are more reliable, they will rely on larger sample sizes in the future to make informed assessments. Making forecasts about new cases based on observed cases (something that. If you saw an actor in one movie and thought she was a great actress, you"re going to make assumptions that she will be a great actress in other movies as well. Start with general premises and ask what follows. Similar to a top-down approach of processing. Gamblers betting on a football game using the same strategy. Well they would have won, but their best player was out on an. Belief perseverance: has completely undermined it injury .

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