PHIL 1290 Lecture Notes - Lecture 11: Post Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc, Enumerative Induction, Fallacy

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Hg: mistake of trying to draw a conclusion about all things kind/feature: Sample not comprehensive or randomly selected from target group. All french women smoke - for marie is french and she smokes. Fallacy: concluding later event is effect of prior event, even though not related. Mistake fact of constant conjunction for cause/effect relation. Drinking: whenever i drink alcohol, i slur and feel terrible the next day. Prayer: "as prayer has gone out of school, guns, drugs, knives have come in" The mere fact that you have temporal succession, doesn"t mean you have a causal relation. W ---> x -------------> y (later in time) Can occur when we confuse cause and effect due to fact they regularly accompany each. Guns: "look, if a cricketer, for instance, suddenly decided to go into school and batter a lot of people to death with a cricket bat, which he could do very easily, are you going to ban cricket bats?"

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