Election Campaigns: Polling, Debates and the Media
- Local versus National Considerations
- Ignatieff is trying to get seats in Kitchener
- One party must achieve 155 seats in order to get a majority government
Do campaigns matter?
- Do polls influence election outcomes?
o Became important in the 1980s
o Media became aware that polls were good stories
o Sample sizes
o A number of ways of interviewing
o Structural biases
o Online polls versus telephone polls
Online polls are typically dominated by younger folks
Telephone survey polls are typically dominated by older folks
Polling can affect the actual date of an election
Polls take a lot of the issues out of focus during campaigns
Party morale increases
No polls can be published on Election Day!
First publisher of a poll must publish things like margin of error, sponsor,