POLS 205 Lecture Notes - National Energy Program, Sponsorship Scandal, Manitoba Schools Question
6 views2 pages
Vote Choice in Canada
- Bill Clinton’s phrase was well known as “It’s the economy, stupid!”
o Focus was heavy on the economy
- Why do Canadians vote the way they do?
o They are going to be “rational” and self-interested
o Based choice on personal utility
- Aggregate data
o Collected at the constituency level by Elections Canada
o Electoral return data
Attitudinal variables exist
o Canadian election studies
Occur during and immediately after elections
Sampling issues and limitations
Sample sizes and subpopulations
Validity of responses
Example: voter turnout
- Social determinants of vote choices in Canada
o Welfare recipients/beneficiaries?
o Homeless people usually won’t vote
o Place of residence?
- Region in vote choice
o West, Quebec
Rural tends to be more right-wing while urban is more likely to vote NDP
o Inner city-suburbs
o Historically, the Liberal Party of Canada has benefitted the most of minorities and
- Class and Vote Choice
o Class is a major determinant in voting in countries, including the U.S.
o Canada has very little class voting
- History: Institutions Matter
o Conservatives sort of jilted Quebec
Losers can’t forgive and forget
Funding for the arts was cut?
Manitoba Schools Question
Failure of the Meech Lake Accord
West traditionally votes Conservative
Bill clinton"s phrase was well known as it"s the economy, stupid! : focus was heavy on the economy. Voters: they are going to be rational and self-interested, based choice on personal utility. Aggregate data: collected at the constituency level by elections canada, electoral return data, limitations. Attitudinal variables exist: canadian election studies. Social determinants of vote choices in canada. Region in vote choice: west, quebec, urban-rural. Rural tends to be more right-wing while urban is more likely to vote ndp. Inner city-suburbs: historically, the liberal party of canada has benefitted the most of minorities and immigrants. Class and vote choice: class is a major determinant in voting in countries, including the u. s, canada has very little class voting. History: institutions matter: conservatives sort of jilted quebec. Farmers don"t like liberals: rise of bq and sovereignty movements in qu bec, federalism. Incumbent party will likely do better during good economy.