POLI 360 Lecture Notes - Lecture 16: Selection Bias, Filkins

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16 Mar 2017
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Majority of conflicts since 1945 are intrastate/civil wars. Targeting of civilians (long term negative impacts) Deadliness not a function of tech, it"s a function of the length of the wars. Because civil wars tend to last longer (6 years) Kalyvas decides to research civil wars, finds some interesting info. New vs. old wars: idea that new civil wars feel pointless (looting over real grievances) and unsupported in the public eye, and they are much more gratuitous (more killed, indiscriminate) vs controlled/discriminate. Kalyvas(cid:495) findings on civil wars: they are (cid:498)wars about nothing at all(cid:499) )dea of (cid:498)armed bandits(cid:499) and not real soldiers. More similarities between new and old than people think. Finds a distinction in the 90s about how people talk about the conflict: sense that. Whether or not new civil war actors have popular support changes their strategy. > even though actors seem bad they often still have some support. We support cause we are scared of you.

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