ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: The Wealth Of Nations, Macroeconomics, Black Market

56 views3 pages

Verified Note

orangecamel139

16 Jan 2020

School

Department

Course

Professor

For unlimited access to Class Notes, a Class+ subscription is required.

ECO 1102 verified notes

5/26View all

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Perfect Competition, Macroeconomics, Marginal Cost

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: The Wealth Of Nations, Macroeconomics, Black Market

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: The Wealth Of Nations, Income Approach

Document Summary

Helps you know how much your purchasing power grows as time passes. (e. g. how much can you buy in 3 years): come back to this in chapter 9. Unemployment: number of people who do not have a job, but who are seeking a job, they need to have certain criteria to be seeking a job however, this is the third measure of macroeconomic performance. This may be hindered through periods of recession and high employment rates. This is a direct relationship between the output and input of the system: policy issues may arise in regard that these changes may not have an impact on prices. Labour and capital to produce a certain amount of stuff but it takes time to increase both of these elements. Your output is fixed in the long-term regarding to economic growth and gdp: there is always a trade-off when you make a decision (e. g. income tax cut).

Related Questions

What do you believe is the ultimate impact of technology on job creation? Should there be curbs to the pace of modernization?

(Answer in a paragraph(around 200 words))

What Econ 101 Can Teach Us About Artificial Intelligence

Here's why advancing technology often leads to more jobs for humans, not fewer

A Tesla Model X 75D semi-autonomous electric vehicle is parked at the Governor's Mansion in Olympia, Wash., this year. Goldman Sachs predicts that 25 years from now, driver employment will be growing by 300,000 less per year because of autonomous vehicles.

By Greg Ip

Aug 9, 2017

The first chart you draw in Economics 101 is the downward-sloping demand curve. It shows that when the price of something drops, people consume more of it.

This elementary rule of economics is remarkably helpful in discussing the effects of technological change. As I wrote last week, when technology makes something cheaper, we consume more of it, often by finding new uses. This lesson repeats through history: When coal-fueled steam power became more efficient in the 1800s, demand for steam power and coal spread. When automated teller machines made it cheaper to operate bank branches in the 1980s, banks opened more branches.

My column cites spreadsheet programs like Lotus 1-2-3, whose arrival in the early 1980s made repetitive recalculation vastly simpler and faster. This reduced demand for bookkeepers but created more demand for people who could run numbers in new and interesting ways, such as accountants and management consultants.

In a recent article for the Harvard Business Review, Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans and Avi Goldfarb, economists at the University of Toronto who study artificial intelligence, say that in the 1990s, economists didnât buy into the hype that the internet and the World Wide Web would upend everything:

âIt wasnât that we didnât recognize that something changed. It was that we recognized that the old economics lens remained useful for looking at the changes taking place. The economics of the âNew Economyâ could be described at a high level: Digital technology would cause a reduction in the cost of search and communication. This would lead to more search, more communication, and more activities that go together with search and communication. Thatâs essentially what happened.â

They apply that lesson to artificial intelligence and more specifically to machine learning, the use of powerful algorithms to make predictions from patterns in large quantities of data. Machine learning, they say, means many problems will be reframed as prediction problems. Autonomous driving no longer involves programming the car to respond in a certain way to a variety of controlled scenarios, but instead, to watch what humans actually do and then respond the same way.

How does this affect jobs? The authors says it depends on whether the technology competes with or complements what you do. Spreadsheets competed with what bookkeepers do (record keeping and calculation) and thus made them less valuable, but complemented what accountants and consultants do (analysis), and made them more valuable.

Mssrs. Agrawal, Gans and Goldfarb say that AI reduces the value of those who predict things for a living, such as whether a mark on an X-ray is a tumor, but it raises the value of those who use predictions to make judgments:

âWhen prediction is cheap, diagnosis will be more frequent and convenient, and thus weâll detect many more early-stage, treatable conditions. This will mean more decisions will be made about

medical treatment, which means greater demand for the application of ethics, and for emotional support, which are provided by humans.â

So AI will create winners and losers within and among industries and occupations. But what will the net effect be? More jobs or less, and for whom? This isnât knowable, but history suggests that while a specific occupation or industry may suffer losses, the aggregate effects will be positive. The growth in accounting and analytical jobs since the early 1980s is much larger than the loss of bookkeeping jobs.

Nor did all those bookkeepers necessarily lose jobs; many probably became accountants or analysts. As Mr. Gans told me, bookkeepers may have been best placed to exploit the capabilities of spreadsheets: âIf you were doing calculations all day as a bookkeeper, chances are you thought a bit about why you are doing that. When you got a spreadsheet, rather than doing one calculation per day you could do 10 to 50, so you had a better sense of what the [calculations] might say.â

Some readers said AI is a much bigger threat than spreadsheets because it has so many more potential applicationsâand they displace uniquely human abilities. I agree with the first part, less so with the second. I suspect workers in previous eras, whether they drove a horse and plow, handled a stock trade or connected a phone call, thought there was something about their job that a machine could never replace.

Will the disruptions this time around be greater? Maybe, but not necessarily. Goldman Sachs predicts that 25 years from now, driver employment will be growing by 300,000 less per year because of autonomous vehicles. Thatâs 25,000 jobs per month to make up, compared with the 5,000 per month that the decline in bookkeeping since 1985 represents. But itâs hardly insurmountable in a labor market where five million jobs are created and destroyed each month.

Others said I was ignoring the potential for rogue algorithms and robots to turn on us or strip us of our freedom.

The experts, of which I am not one, tell me AI is nowhere near that capability. (Before the robots can kill us they must first stop killing themselves.) And donât assume spreadsheets have been all benign. Excel may not have slain anyone Terminator-style, but it did help wound J.P. Morgan through its role in the âLondon Whaleâ trading disaster.

Which brings me to the final point. We should not confuse what technology enables us to do with how much better off it makes us. Spreadsheets enabled analysts to construct much more intricate forecasts of stock prices and the economy, but didnât make those forecasts any more accurate. AI may enable companies to better manage the risks of their products and actions, but those products and actions may not be more profitable. Many a CEO has wondered whether the money they spend on spreadsheet-wielding consultants yields any real value. Some day they may wonder the same thing about their AI-wielding consultants.

On Monday, May 26, Tina Brown walked into Innovative Patios to begin her new job as Payroll Manager. She was met by Julie Thornbury, President and major shareholder of the company. Julie got to the point: Good, you're here. I need a payroll plan by Friday. This place is a mess.

Yesterday I got a call from Human Resources & Skills Development Canada. He said we aren't filing ROEs. Do you know what they are?

We've got employees telling us that they get more tax deducted than their friends who earn the same amount. Jim, our production manager is barking that he should have a tax credit for his kid. We've been fined for sending in employee taxes late. I don't get it. I pay two people to run the administrative side of things and they mess things up.

I hear there are changes in the pipeline. I heard about the federal budget, but I don't know if we will benefit or not. Will it be just more paperwork? The bottom line is that I don't want any more government types coming around here threatening me. Tell me what we have to do.

Company History

Innovative Patio is a private corporation that installs patios stones made from recycled material. The company was started twenty years ago by Julie's parents Elena and Seamus. Elena and Seamus were immigrants to Canada and earned a living through a small landscaping business. They hired workers on contract and paid in cash for many years until they were audited by the tax department.

To avoid further problems, they incorporated the company five years ago, but their workers on the payroll, and hired Mary as a bookkeeper to fill out all the government forms.

Payroll Department

Mary quickly became Innovative Patios office manager, human resources manager, financial administrator, and payroll manager. The workload was overwhelming and she convinced Julie to hire Liza to help her. Liza suggested they use Quicken to keep track of all accounts including payroll.

Mary and Liza fill out all cheques by hand for the ten employees and fill out all the government forms by hand. The company's remittances are based on a checklist Mary developed in 2009 (See Exhibit), Mary is unhappy because she works very hard, but everyone complains about things being wrong. When Julie landed a large contract that would require 15 more people to be hired, Mary recommended that Julie hire a professional payroll manager. I can handle the other stuff, but the Canada Revenue Agency and the employee complaints are driving me crazy. I just can't keep up. I will be as helpful as I can.

Julie led Tina to her office and rushed off to take care of a crisis on the loading dock. Before Tina could get settled, Mary walked in, I am so happy to meet you. Just tell me what you need and Liza and I will get it for you. The employees are paid bi-weekly and this Wednesday is a payday. I haven't prepared anything

because I knew you would be here.

Exhibit: Mary's 2009 Remittance list

Item	Amount	How much to remit	When
Payroll	Annual $500,000	$1,000 payroll remittance	Monthly Pay balance plus interest when assessment arrives
CPP	4.95% earnings (to annual max)	$2,062.50	Monthly
EI	1.98% earnings (to annual Max)	$49,000	Year-end
GST	Net annual subject to HST $200,000 at 13%	$1,500	Monthly Use the refund to go toward payroll remittances due

Please answer the following questions:

a) Who are the key stakeholders in this case?
b) What are the resources needed?
c) What resources are available?
d) What is the main issue in this case?

Thank you in advance!

apricotsalmon963

Yesterday I got a call from Human Resources & Skills Development Canada . He said we aren't filing ROEs. Do you know what they are?

Company History

Innovative Patios is a private corporation that installs patios stones made from recycled material. The company was started twenty years ago by Julie's parents Elena and Seamus. Elena and Seamus were immigrants to Canada and earned a living through a small landscaping business. They hired workers on contract and paid in cash for many years until they were audited by the tax department.

To avoid further problems, they incorporated the company five years ago, but their workers on the payroll, and hired Mary as a bookkeeper to fill out all the government forms.

Payroll Department

Mary quickly became Innovative Patios office manager, human resources manager, financial administrator and payroll manager. The workload was overwhelming and she convinced Julie to hire Liza to help her. Liza suggested they use Quicken to keep track of all accounts including payroll.

Mary and Liza fill out all cheques by hand for the ten employees and fill out all the government forms by hand. The company's remittances are based on a checklist Mary developed in 2009 (See Exhibit), Mary is unhappy because she works very hard, but everyone complains about things being wrong. When Julie landed a large contract that would require 15 more people be hired, Mary recommended that Julie hire a professional payroll manager. I can handle the other stuff, but the Canada Revenue Agency and the employee complaints are driving me crazy. I just can't keep up. I will be as helpful as I can.

because I knew you would be here.

Exhibit: Mary's 2009 Remittance list

Item	Amount	How much to remit	When
Payroll	Annual $500,000	$1,000 payroll remittance	Monthly Pay balance plus interest when assessment arrives
CPP	4.95% earnings (to annual max)	$2,062.50	Monthly
EI	1.98% earnings (to annual Max)	$49,000	Year-end
GST	Net annual subject to HST $200,000 at 13%	$1,500	Monthly Use the refund to go toward payroll remittances due

Please answer the following questions:

a) Who are the key stakeholders in this case?
b) What are the resources needed?
c) What resources are available?
d) What is the main issue in this case?

Thank you in advance!

raspberrybee29

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: The Wealth Of Nations, Macroeconomics, Black Market

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 4: Perfect Competition, Macroeconomics, Marginal Cost

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: The Wealth Of Nations, Macroeconomics, Black Market

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 6: The Wealth Of Nations, Income Approach

Document Summary

Get access

Related textbook solutions

Principles of Economics

Principles of Macroeconomics

Principles of Microeconomics

Related Documents

ECO 1102 Study Guide - Midterm Guide: Correlation Does Not Imply Causation, Potential Output, Aggregate Supply

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 14: Loanable Funds, Monetary Policy, Aggregate Demand

ECO 1102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 25: Real Interest Rate, Seigniorage, Aggregate Demand

Related Questions