ECO 2117 Lecture Notes - Lecture 12: Demographic Transition, Canada 2016 Census, Diminishing Returns

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ECO2117
March 7 2016
Population Growth
-components of population growth
-natural increases in fertility and mortality
-birth are per 1000
-fertility rate (average number of children per female)
-death rate per 1000
-life expectancy at birth
-under 5 child morality rates per 1000
-age structure and dependency burdens
-net international migration
-declining fertility rates
-declining mortality rates
-hight levels of both in least developed countries
-but earlier and stronger reductions in morality rates leading to increases population
growth
-hidden momentum of population growth
-high birth rates cannot be altered overnight
-age structure of developing country populations cannot be altered overnight either
-developed countries pass through the same stages during the demographic transition
-stage one: high birth and death rates
-stage two: continued high birth rates, declining death rates
-stage three: falling birth and death rates that eventually stabilize
left: demographic transition in Western Europe
right: demographic transition in developing countries
-signifies that each country goes through the same process at a certain point
-Malthusian population trap: the idea that rising population and diminishing returns to fixed
factors results in a low level of living
! of !1 2
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Document Summary

Fertility rate (average number of children per female) Under 5 child morality rates per 1000. Hight levels of both in least developed countries. But earlier and stronger reductions in morality rates leading to increases population growth. High birth rates cannot be altered overnight. Age structure of developing country populations cannot be altered overnight either. Developed countries pass through the same stages during the demographic transition. Stage one: high birth and death rates. Stage two: continued high birth rates, declining death rates. Stage three: falling birth and death rates that eventually stabilize left: demographic transition in western europe right: demographic transition in developing countries. Signi es that each country goes through the same process at a certain point. Malthusian population trap: the idea that rising population and diminishing returns to xed factors results in a low level of living. Growth rate is the change in population divided by the existing population.

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