PHL145H5 Lecture Notes - Lecture 14: Parachuting

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10 Apr 2016
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8 sa quesions; deiniions and argument examples evaluaing; only since midterm for sa. Also 2 short essay quesions from anything from course; argument evaluaion. Not social chapter; only on most current syllabus; chapters covered in lecture: idenify things that are large risk in life, adopt the measure that have the highest probability of helping you avoid those risks. Have to take some risks; igure out your prioriies. Risk raio = number of some undesirable outcome/number for the populaion. Cancer risk raio = number of cancer deaths/number of canadians in 2015. =78,000/36m is 2167/million so about 2. 2 per thousand; 0. 22% chance. Can make beter risk assessment if narrow populaion to beter it yourself; race, age, weight, gender, lifestyles/smoking. Inference stronger when populaion is more precise, so more relevant to predicion, more suited to the outcome in the numerator. Chances dying skydiving needs to have populaion well suited to outcome checking risk of.

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