BIO220H1 Lecture Notes - Numerical Weather Prediction, Primitive Equations, Sea Level Rise
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BIO220H1 Full Course Notes
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Lecture 22 bio220 role of greenhouse gases in climate change. Long-term prediction: ice age continues, exit current interglacial in 10-50 thousand years. 4 pioneers of climate prediction (developed models of climate change: tyndall, arrhenius, bjerknes, richardson. Arrhenius calculated effect of co2 as greenhouse gas: x2 [co2] = increase by 4 c, glacial interglacial due to co2. Increased coal burning = fend off next ice age. Richardson use equations to calculate numerical weather prediction. Eniac"s breakthrough prediction: 24hrs of weather in 24hrs. Weather climate: can"t predict weather far in advance (chaotic nature, climate = statistics of weather, predictable, assess predictive ability via backward prediction (compare to past records, Multiple models: intergovernmental panel on climate change: different groups in various countries on. Albedo reflectivity in energy balance: climate colling associated with uplift of mountain ranges, creation of new snowy regions. Keeling hypothesized annual co2 patterns because of seasons. Ipcc data: increase in temperature and sea level, decrease in snow.