POL101Y1 Lecture Notes - Financial Regulation, Freeman Dyson, Probability Distribution

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15 Apr 2012
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Unprecedented politics-mitigating risk in an uncertain world kopstein. National advisory committee on sars and public health. Mandate: draw lessons from sars outbreak, and explore longer-term approaches on how best to enhance canada"s response to future public health challenges. Political leadership matters (inter alia, clement, chretien, mclellan, [william] farr was a man of science, and shared snow"s belief in the power of statistics but he also shared many assumptions with the miasma camp, and he used the number crunching of the weekly returns to reinforce those beliefs. Risk analysis: var of million with 99% confidence. If we do not change course, we"ll hand our children a situation that is out of their control. james hansen, nasa, advisor to a1 gore. The climate studies people who work with models always tend to overestimate their models dangers cannot be predicted until we know more about its causes it"s always possible hansen could turn out to be right.

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