POL101Y1 Lecture Notes - Kuomintang, Power Transition Theory, Hegemony

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Political science is built upon theory, the ability to predict how states will behave. Prevailing theory: democratic peace theory in international relations, deals with conflict and peace. Democracies take a long time to decide to go to war. Political science cannot always predict, no one predicted the end of the cold war. Politics is inherently uncertain, there is a great degree of uncertainty in the way in which states behave. We attempt to explain why and how states behave the way they do. The case of taiwan, southeast coast of china, china has 800-1500 missiles pointed at it at all times from china. 1920s-1930s, china in civil war, chinese nationalist party vs. chinese communist party. Taiwan, republic of china [de jure chinese province] Taiwan is not independent, china claims to own taiwan although taiwan is an independent state. De facto independent state- taiwan has its own economy, democracy, currency, military, etc.

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