ECON 1110 Lecture Notes - Lecture 20: Deflation, Output Gap, Aggregate Supply

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Money is neutral in the long run if a change in the money supply has no long run effect on real gdp or any other real variables. The level or growth rate of y* may be affected by a short run path of real gdp. Increase in money supply: decrease in interest rate, increase in investment, research and development, increase in y* Conclusion: the rate of inflation (increase in prices) and the growth of money supply are highly and positively correlated. Inflation: the rise in the average level of prices measured by the percentage change in consumer price index (cpi, inflationt = cpit cpit-1 / cpit-1 x 100. Two macroeconomic factors that affect wages: output gap. Demand forces are not exerting any pressure on wages. If gdp = y* then unemployment = u* U* = natural rate of unemployment, also called the non- accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (nairu)

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