Philosophy 2500F/G Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Broccoli, Psychoactive Drug
26 Sep 2018
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Phil 2500: the lottery paradox, example: now say that the magic there sold of probability is 99%, p(x) 0. 99, suppose i hold one of 100 lottery tickets, from which a winning ticket will be randomly selected. It sets a principles threshold for knowledge: 100% It doesn"t fall prey to the conjunction problem: p (b and b) = p(a) x p(b) = 1x1=1. It doesn"t fall prey to the lottery paradox: i didn"t know that tickets #1-41 and #43-100 would lose. It does a good job of capturing what we seem to mean by knowledge". The strong and weak conceptions: the weak conception captures what we mean by knowledge" but has deep theoretical problems, the strong conception has fewer theoretical problems. But doesn"t capture what we mean by knowledge". I do not experience the pencil itself, but only my perceptions of the pencil.
