Presidential Elections and The Electoral College
October 17, 2012
-HIV virus first referred to
-Web of Knowledge Social Science database
Presidential Election 2012
Electing the President
Tuesday, November 6, 2012
-US Senate and US House of Representatives
-State Offices (Gov, Senate, House, Courts, etc.)
-County Offices (Assessor, Attorney, Sheriff, etc.)
-Voting has already started almost everywhere
-counting takes a long time
The Great Compromise
-Compromise related to the President:
-Election via the Electoral College
-The States run elections for federal offices
-Right – that means 50 different sets of rules
-ever since 2000 election, you need to have a lawyer present/ready to fight election laws
-Gore and Bush200 vote difference in Florida
Review: Redistricting Effects
-Creates Safe Seats
-as many as 400 of 435
-General Election is pre-determined
-USAred country by geography
-kidnapping, packing Primary Math
-Assume a general rule: 1/3 Dem + 1/3 Rep +1/3 Ind
-Assume that incumbency advantages create ~400 safe seats in the House
-Primary > General Election
-How many voters are required to win the primary?
-Primaries (closed) are limited to registers party members
Primary Math – Implications
-Elections require between 3.5% and 5% of the voters
-The Question is: Who are those voters?
-Do they “look like” the rest of Americans?
-Effect – “median voter” is skewed to the edges of political spectrum = polarization
-the rise of “purity tests”
-Domino effect to the Senate?
-Primary election effects
Who elects the US President?
Steps in Presidential Election
-Securing convention votes – primaries and caucuses
Electoral College: History
-Turn to dictator
-Too weak = Leg usurp
-Too strong = usurp Leg
-Who should vote for prez?
-Congress, the people?
-Electoral College as compromise
-Electoral College NOT majority vote
-Federal NOT National Election
-problems of having Congress to elect US -separation o