EC140 Lecture Notes - Lecture 11: Output Gap, Aggregate Supply, Phillips Curve

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Real gdp determined by intersection of supply and demand. Total output if all productive resources were fully employed independent of price level: fully employed resources does not mean unemployment in zero. Changes in potential output are long-run, not short-run. Potential gdp as an anchor economy returns to potential gdp after a shock. If real gdp < potential output: recessionary gap. If real gdp > potential output: inflationary gap. This causes the as curve to shift left. Higher wages lead to higher costs for all inputs. Inflationary gap resources are used beyond capacity overtime. Labour shortages emerge firms offer increased wages to attract/keep workers. This causes the as curve to shift right. Shifts end when real gdp equals potential output. Labour surpluses firms offer workers reduced wages. Lower wages lead to lower costs for other inputs. Recessionary gaps bring very slow wage adjustment: extensive research into why, behavioural responses by workers seem most likely.

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