ADMS 3330 Lecture : ADMS 3330 Assignment 2 Solution PART A

57 views6 pages

Document Summary

Part a (each model analysis is 20 pts) In this part we will analyze each forecasting model and then summarize the results: 5-period moving average: under this method we can only forecast from day 6 to day 30. : in this case we first need to set. Mad and mse are computed using periods 2-30, since the first period is used for initialization: multiplicative time series model. The first step involves the calculation of the seasonal indices. Day 1: (1. 0392 + 1. 0594 + 1. 0377 + 1. 0406 + 1. 0428)/5 = 1. 0439. Day 2: (0. 7982 + 0. 8111 + 0. 7985 + 0. 8172 + 0. 8000)/5 = 0. 8050. Day 3: (0. 9557 + 0. 9639 + 0. 9539 + 0. 9613 + 0. 9670 + 0. 9645)/6 = 0. 9611. Day 4: (1. 0647 + 1. 0405 + 1. 0519 + 1. 0568 + 1. 0157)/5 = 1. 0459. Day 5: (1. 1571 + 1. 1205 + 1. 1560 + 1. 1326 + 1. 1642)/5 = 1. 1461.

Get access

Grade+20% off
$8 USD/m$10 USD/m
Billed $96 USD annually
Grade+
Homework Help
Study Guides
Textbook Solutions
Class Notes
Textbook Notes
Booster Class
40 Verified Answers
Class+
$8 USD/m
Billed $96 USD annually
Class+
Homework Help
Study Guides
Textbook Solutions
Class Notes
Textbook Notes
Booster Class
30 Verified Answers

Related Documents

Related Questions