ECON 3440 Lecture Notes - Lecture 44: Unemployment, Phillips Curve
Document Summary
This says if there is cyclical unemployment then firms decrease price (recession) and this decrease below e. Notice if there is no cyclical unemployment (u=u*) then inflation rate is equal to. In 1950s & 1960s we had fixed exchange rate, which resulted in stable inflation, and stable e. Also in 1950s & 1960s we had steady growth in productivity which gave us a steady u*. Then in 1970s we had the great productivity slowdown, which u*. This on it its own shifts p. c. to right. Faced with higher unemployment central banks created inflation , hoping to it. They could create inflation because we had flexible exchange rate in 1970s. People then e to e unemployment rate did not fall (inflation could not increase productivity). We ended up having high inflation & high unemployment: this gave us a p. c. for 1970s that was very high. Then in early 1980s the central bank adopted target inflation of 4%.