Log in
HomeClass Notes1,200,000CA670,000

INTL 2200 Lecture Notes - Lecture 15: Monetary Policy, Exchange Rate

62 views2 pages
ivorygnu895
25 Mar 2016
School
York University
Department
International
Course
INTL 2200
Professor
Mokhles Hossain

For unlimited access to Class Notes, a Class+ subscription is required.

Document Summary

R = real rate = at its long term equilibrium, changes in r associated with changes in pi. Ms increases -> elasticitysupplymoney -> pi increases (y=ybar [fullemployment]) -> Ppp: exchange rate is the ratio of two prices, e= p. =p q = real exchange rate = foreign is numerator) = relative price of foreign to domestic (cause q = f(trade policies, tech changes, etc) think of it like the inverse of terms of trade, so like the terms of trade for the foreign country i guess. Real exchange rate then depends on what we learned in the first 6 weeks of class: tariffs, quotas that shit. We know that gnp = c+i+g+ca (where current account is nx+ net inflow of investment income) Nx= nx ( e , p , p. , or nx(q) since q is the same as that shit q= e p. X =x (q , y ( x m)=nx=nx( q , y , y.

Get access

Grade+
$40 USD/m
Billed monthly
Grade+
Homework Help
Study Guides
Textbook Solutions
Class Notes
Textbook Notes
Booster Class
10 Verified Answers
Class+
$30 USD/m
Billed monthly
Class+
Homework Help
Study Guides
Textbook Solutions
Class Notes
Textbook Notes
Booster Class
7 Verified Answers

Related Documents

ECON-102 Lecture Notes - Lecture 3: Human Capital, Business Cycle, Demand Curve
raspberrymarten426
ECON 322
Final Exam
Study Guide
ECON 322 Study Guide - Midterm Guide: Purchasing Power Parity, Nominal Interest Rate, Nominal Rigidity
ambermuskrat630
ECON 1000 Lecture Notes - Lecture 13: Capital Accumulation, Risk Premium, Import Quota
redcrocodile640

Related Questions

Monetary Policy and Inflation: Use our standard Keynesian macroeconomic model:

• Y = E = C + I + NX + G — GDP equals the sum of consumption, investment, net exports, and government purchases
• C = c0 + cy x Y — consumption equals the consumer-confidence term plus the mpc times GDP or income
• I = I0 - Ir x r — business investment spending equals the business animal-spirits term minus the interest sensitivity of investment times the long-run real risky interest rate
• μ = 1/(1 - cy) — the multiplier is the inverse of one minus the mic
• Y = μ(c0 + I0 + NX) - (μ Ir) x r + μG — our summing-up equation, telling us how the level of annual GDP depends on the multiplier μ, on the private spending flows c0 + I0 + NX, on the
interest-sensitivity parameter Ir, on the interest rate r, and on government purchases G


For this problem, assume a value of the Keynesian multiplier of μ = 2, and with Ir, the sensitivity of investment spending I to the interest rate r, such that Ir = $0.15T. And let’s use the Greek letter Δ—capital delta—as a shorthand symbol for changes from the previous equilibrium situation.


The Federal Reserve controls the short-term safe interest rate on government securities—it can nail that value to whatever it wants by buying and selling bonds for cash. We call this interest rate i. But the interest rate that matters for determining investment spending is the long-term real risky interest rate at which banks lend to companies. We call this interest rate r.


a) Suppose that the interest rate r that matters for investment spending falls by 1.5%-pts:
Δr = -1.5
By how much would you expect investment spending to fall given the parameter values of our model? How large is ΔI?

b) Continue your analysis from (a): given the parameter values of our model and the boosting of investment spending you calculated in (a), by how much would you expect GDP Y to grow?


c) Annual real GDP in the mid-2000s was about $15T. How large is this boost to GDP ΔY you calculated in (b) as a percentage of the then-level of real GDP?


d) On average, a 1% extra boost to GDP is associated with a 1.5% extra decrease in the unemployment rate. By how much extra would you expect the unemployment rate to fall as a
result of the boost to GDP you calculated in (b) and (c)?


e) Suppose that with the interest rate decline the unemployment rate falls from 6% to 4.5%. What would the unemployment rate have been without this interest-rate decline?

f) Suppose that real GDP had been lower for each of three years by the amount you calculated in (b). How much poorer would Americans have been in terms of reduced income over those three years had the interest rate r not fallen?


g) In an America with about 135 million workers, how much is this lost income per worker?

1. Fiscal policy attempts to affect the level of overall spendingin the economy by changes in:
A) the interest rate.
B) the money supply.
C) banking regulations.
D) taxes and spending.


2. Economists have identified several consecutive months of fallingemployment and forecasts for the next few months are for more ofthe same. At what point in the business cycle is the economyapparently located?
A) recession
B) expansion
C) business cycle peak
D) business cycle trough


3. The onset of the Great Depression:
A) was not a shock to anyone since most economists predicted the“roaring 20s” were bound to end in disaster.
B) created a disagreement between the Hoover administration andconventional economists because Hoover wanted the government tointervene much more quickly than most others.
C) came as a considerable shock to the conventional wisdom ofeconomics at that time and opened the door for critiques ofmainstream thought by economists like JM Keynes.
D) was in 1918 at the end of World War I.


4. When economists measure economic growth, they often use:
A) the inflation rate.
B) the unemployment rate.
C) nominal GDP.
D) real GDP.


5. In a typical business cycle, the business cycle peak isimmediately followed by the:
A) recession.
B) business cycle trough.
C) expansion.
D) depression.


6. Suppose an economy experiences rising total output accompaniedby increasing employment, this is generally known as:
A) stagflation.
B) recession.
C) inflation.
D) expansion.


7. Controlling interest rates is an example of:
A) fiscal policy.
B) tax policy.
C) monetary policy.
D) exchange rate policy.


8. The alternation between recessions and expansions is known asthe:
A) unemployment rate.
B) long-run economic growth.
C) business cycle.
D) macroeconomy.


9. A recession in America is typically associated with:
A) a falling unemployment rate.
B) a decrease in the number of people living in poverty.
C) a decrease in the percentage of Americans with healthinsurance.
D) an increase in corporate profits.


10. The purpose of macroeconomic policy is to:
A) bring unemployment closer to the natural rate.
B) reduce the severity of recessions.
C) rein in excessively strong expansions.
D) bring unemployment closer to the natural rate and to reduce theseverity of recessions.


11. The trade balance is the difference between the value ofthe:
A) trade deficit and the budget deficit.
B) goods and services that one country sells to other countries andthe value of the goods and services it buys in return.
C) exchange rates of two countries that are engaged ininternational trade.
D) national debt and the foreign debt.


12. Increasing the total amount of available productive resourcesis the focus of __________.
A) macroeconomics
B) fiscal policy
C) monetary policy
D) microeconomics


13. The point on a business cycle when real GDP stops rising andbegins falling is a(n):
A) peak.
B) trough.
C) expansion.
D) recession.


14. During a recession, one will often observe:
A) aggregate output rising.
B) unemployment rates will be increasing while aggregate output isfalling.
C) employment rates will be rising.
D) zero unemployment rates.


15. Monetary policy involves:
A) changes in government spending.
B) changes in government tax receipts.
C) changes in the quantity of money.
D) changes in tax rates.


16. The trough of the business cycle:
A) comes right after the expansion phase.
B) comes before the recession phase.
C) is a temporary maximum level of real GDP.
D) is a temporary minimum level of real GDP.


17. Which one of the following statements about the U.S. economy isnot accurate?
A) Since the Second World War, aggregate output grew at a ratelower than the average annual growth rate of population.
B) Since the Second World War, aggregate output grew at a ratehigher than the average annual growth rate of population.
C) Since the Second World War, macroeconomic policy has helped makethe economy more stable.
D) Long-run growth per capita is the key to higher wages and arising standard of living.


18. An economic recovery is all of the following except:
A) economic growth of a sustained nature.
B) a short-run increase in aggregate production in aneconomy.
C) a time of increasing employment.
D) the end of the business cycle.


19. Which of the following would NOT be classified as amacroeconomic question?
A) How many people are employed in the economy as a whole?
B) What determines the overall level of prices in the economy as awhole?
C) What determines the overall trade in goods, services, andfinancial assets between the United States and the rest of theworld?
D) What determines the cost to a university or college of offeringa new course?


20. Which of the following statements regarding price level orinflation is correct?
A) Supply and demand can not explain why a particular good orservice becomes more expensive relative to other goods andservices.
B) Inflation affects only the more advanced countries whereas lessadvanced countries face deflation.
C) Prices of most goods and services remained stable during thegreat depression.
D) In general, when the economy is in recession and jobs are hardto find, inflation tends to fall.


21. If wages grew at a 5% rate last year and average prices grew ata 3% rate, then the average worker is:
A) better off.
B) worse off.
C) no better or worse off.
D) unaffected.


22. In an open economy:
A) the exchange rate is determined by the government.
B) specialization in activities with a comparative advantage is notpossible.
C) trade is only beneficial to the relatively larger economy.
D) there is trade in goods, services, or assets with othercountries.


23. Changes in government spending and taxes in an effort to changeoverall spending in an economy is:
A) fiscal policy.
B) monetary policy.
C) investment.
D) the stock market.


24. If an economy is open, this means that:
A) anyone can immigrate to the country.
B) trading with other countries makes up a portion of itseconomy.
C) it does not trade with other countries.
D) it will experience a drop in its real GDP.


25. Inflation is a situation where:
A) the average price level falls.
B) the average price level increases.
C) the average price level becomes negative.
D) the real price level falls.


26. The topics studied in macroeconomics include:
A) the price of a motorcycle.
B) the wages of engineers.
C) the average price level in the economy.
D) how much ice cream consumers buy.


27. A period of rising real GDP is a(n):
A) peak.
B) trough.
C) expansion.
D) recession.


28. The modern tools of macroeconomic policy are:
A) tax policy and antitrust policy.
B) fiscal policy and monetary policy.
C) monetary policy and exchange rate policy.
D) capital policy and labor policy.


29. A “rubber necking” traffic jam is an example of:
A) microeconomics in action.
B) individual behavior that has a large aggregate impact.
C) the paradox of thrift.
D) an outcome smaller than the sum of its parts.


30. The most painful consequence of a recession is:
A) rising unemployment.
B) increasing inflation.
C) increasing aggregate output.
D) higher interest rates.


31. Per capita economic growth is:
A) economic growth per unit of capital.
B) economic growth per person.
C) economic expansion over the business cycle.
D) sustained increase in aggregate output.


32. Keynesian economics stressed:
A) total spending.
B) the self-regulating power of free markets.
C) the long run.
D) that the Depression should run its course to bring down the highcost of living.


33. When an economy's overall production grows faster than itspopulation, this is referred to as:
A) long-run growth per capita.
B) an increase in nominal GDP.
C) deflation.
D) the paradox of thrift.


34. Fiscal policy attempts to affect the overall level of spendingin the economy through:
A) changes in the inflation rate.
B) changes in the quantity of money or the interest rate.
C) changes in tax policy or government spending.
D) discretionary regulation of profits and wages.


35. With regard to the aggregate price level, economists generallybelieve:
A) price stability is a desirable goal.
B) inflation is worse than deflation.
C) deflation is worse than inflation.
D) inflation actually benefits most retired people.


36. Recessions are periods when:
A) output rises.
B) the aggregate price level rises.
C) the unemployment rate is falling.
D) output and employment are falling.


37. Monetary policy attempts to affect the overall level ofspending in the economy by changes in:
A) taxes.
B) taxes and spending.
C) taxes and interest rates.
D) interest rates and the quantity of money.


38. The basic difference between an economic recession and economicdepression is that:
A) the latter is a shorter economic downturn than the former.
B) during recessions output falls faster than duringdepressions.
C) during depressions employment falls faster than duringrecessions.
D) the former is a longer economic downturn than the latter.


39. The central mission of modern macroeconomics is to prevent_____ from happening again.
A) recessions
B) inflation
C) deflation
D) anything like the Great Depression


40. Fiscal policy refers to:
A) the control of interest rates.
B) the control of government spending and taxations.
C) the control of the quantity of money.
D) the control of interest rates and of government spending.


Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor:
Monetary Policy Decision

At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent.

There has been a broad-based pick-up in the global economy since last year. Labour markets have tightened further in many countries and forecasts for global growth have been revised up. Above-trend growth is expected in a number of advanced economies, although uncertainties remain. In China, growth is being supported by increased spending on infrastructure and property construction, with the high level of debt continuing to present a medium-term risk. The improvement in the global economy has contributed to higher commodity prices, which are providing a significant boost to Australia’s national income. Australia’s terms of trade have increased, although some reversal of this is occurring.

Headline inflation rates have moved higher in most countries, partly reflecting the higher commodity prices. Core inflation remains low. Long-term bond yields are higher than last year, although in a historical context they remain low. Interest rates have increased in the United States and there is no longer an expectation of additional monetary easing in other major economies. Financial markets have been functioning effectively.

The Bank’s forecasts for the Australian economy are little changed. Growth is expected to increase gradually over the next couple of years to a little above 3 per cent. The economy is continuing its transition following the end of the mining investment boom, with the drag from the decline in mining investment coming to an end and exports of resources picking up. Growth in consumption is expected to remain moderate and broadly in line with incomes. Non-mining investment remains low as a share of GDP and a stronger pick-up would be welcome.

Indicators of the labour market remain mixed. The unemployment rate has moved a little higher over recent months, but employment growth has been a little stronger. The various forward-looking indicators still point to continued growth in employment over the period ahead. The unemployment rate is expected to decline gradually over time. Wage growth remains slow and this is likely to remain the case for a while yet.

The outlook continues to be supported by the low level of interest rates. Lenders have announced increases in mortgage rates, particularly those paid by investors and on interest-only loans. The depreciation of the exchange rate since 2013 has also assisted the economy in its transition following the mining investment boom. An appreciating exchange rate would complicate this adjustment.

Inflation picked up to above 2 per cent in the March quarter in line with the Bank’s expectations. In underlying terms, inflation is running at around 1¾ per cent, a little higher than last year. A gradual further increase in underlying inflation is expected as the economy strengthens.

Conditions in the housing market continue to vary considerably around the country. Prices have been rising briskly in some markets and declining in others. In the eastern capital cities, a considerable additional supply of apartments is scheduled to come on stream over the next couple of years. Rent increases are the slowest for two decades. Growth in housing debt has outpaced the slow growth in household incomes. The recently announced supervisory measures should help address the risks associated with high and rising levels of indebtedness.

Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.

1)If the FR aims to raise interest rates and shift the AD curve to the left, the FR would conduct open market operations to reduce the money supply.

a. True

b. False

2)In the new equilibrium, it is the new money demand and the new money supply that determines the nominal interest rate. True or False?

3) According to the media release by Phillip Lowe, the FR is expected to implement contractionary monetary policy by raising interest rates. Contractionary monetary policy reduces aggregate income because it:

a.Decreases the exchange rate and hence decreases net exports

b.Decreases planned investment by firms

c.Decreases planned saving by households

d.Decreases interest rates and hence aggregate demand

4 )According to the media release by Phillip Lowe, "The unemployment rate is expected to decline gradually over time." Suppose that Australia has an adult population of 50 million and a participation rate of 60%. The ABS uses the rule that anyone doing 1 hour's paid work or more is counted as employed. On this basis, suppose that it finds Australia has 27 million employed people.

What is Australia's official unemployment rate? Round your answer to a whole number.

5) Refer to Q1.4. Suppose that the ABS now changes the rule for being employed to 10 hours paid work or more, and finds that Australia now has 24 million employed people. What is the new official unemployment rate? Assume that the labour force participation rate and adult population is unchanged. Round your answer to a whole number.