BIOL2300 Lecture Notes - Lecture 5: Posterior Probability, Bayes Estimator, Prior Probability
4 Apr 2017
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Document Summary
Know probability of p(a) and conditional of p(b|a), we can compute p(a|b) a. A posteriori: . 6429 with new added information. Ex: probability of urn 2 before sally draws a ball. Ex: probability of urn 2 after sally draws red. 4 people have birthdays on the same day. 23 people in a room, what is probability that 2 people have the same birthday. Top: ways of choosing birthdays of 2 people in order where birthdays are different. Complement rule: p (at least 2 persons with same bday)=1-p(no 2 persons have same bday)
