INTL 2500 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Human Nature, Dependent And Independent Variables, Social Science

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How the world works and political debated look different depending on your view of the. It would be very costly for china to start a war, the rise of china would be peaceful because china needs a peaceful environment for the economy to grow. Theories help us perceive the world and organize/ make sense of its complexities: suggest data/evidence, shape expectations, provide views of reality. Organize that data and draw expectations from it. If the soviet union fall, we will see a big conflict. I have to make do what we have. A few cases make it very hard to tell: but sometimes evidence in inconclusive. Democracy tends to be peaceful towards each other. Parsimony vs. accuracy: realism = parsimonious, not very accurate. Look at hypothesis/ what will explain the outcome and independent variables. Historical cases: people are dead hard to get. Get data from there sources: don"t assume that correlation= causation.

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