INTL 2500 Lecture Notes - Lecture 1: Human Nature, Dependent And Independent Variables, Social Science
Document Summary
How the world works and political debated look different depending on your view of the. It would be very costly for china to start a war, the rise of china would be peaceful because china needs a peaceful environment for the economy to grow. Theories help us perceive the world and organize/ make sense of its complexities: suggest data/evidence, shape expectations, provide views of reality. Organize that data and draw expectations from it. If the soviet union fall, we will see a big conflict. I have to make do what we have. A few cases make it very hard to tell: but sometimes evidence in inconclusive. Democracy tends to be peaceful towards each other. Parsimony vs. accuracy: realism = parsimonious, not very accurate. Look at hypothesis/ what will explain the outcome and independent variables. Historical cases: people are dead hard to get. Get data from there sources: don"t assume that correlation= causation.