INTEGBI 114 Lecture 9: Lecture9
Document Summary
Observed pattern the reported cases show a distinct peak in late march, followed by a long tail from may onwards the spatial distribution of cases show large aggregations in cumbria, devon, and the. The data: how complex the model is depends on data, county, parish holding location of farm house report and slaughter dates, number and type of livestock link probably source of infection. The interaction: susceptible exposed infectious removed, day 0, animal infected, day, day 9. Farm reported (vet confirmed: day 10-15, animals culled. The effects of control: using the level and delays observed during the epidemic. Only culls of the infected premises are performed: 927% cases and 342% culled, suggested that this would have been bad! So what they did was good: generates a much larger and longer duration epidemic and more animals, can run a model on standard policy being slaughtered, using the level and delays observed during the epidemic.
