CAS PS 211 Lecture Notes - Lecture 9: Critical Thinking, Naturalistic Observation, Scale-Invariant Feature Transform
15 Sep 2016
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Document Summary
Hindsight bias finding something has happened makes it seem inevitable. A supposed finding and its opposite can seem like common sense problem with hindsight bias. Common sense describes what has happened, rather than what will happen. Intuition, informed by casual observations, can be wrong. Hindsight bias makes answer seem obvious, and people become overconfident. Hindsight bias and overconfidence overestimation of intuition. Scientific inquiry can help sift reality from illusion. There are three major components to the scientific attitude: Curiosity, the passion to explore and understand without misleading or being misled. Letting the facts speak for themselves empirical approach. Skepticism, approaching the world of behavior with a persistence in asking questions. Humility, an awareness of one"s vulnerability to error and an openness to surprises and new perspectives. These attitudes helped make modern science possible. The ideal that unifies psychologists with all scientists is the scrutiny of completing ideas. As a community, scientists check one another"s findings and conclusions.
