PLS 202 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Falsifiability

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Ask questions that allows you to think about how different factors can influence policy outputs. Test hypotheses against evidence from the real world. Must be aware that our beliefs should stay out of hypotheses and testing. Generalizing makes it harder because you are looking at one case to define a larger pattern. A single case can provide a foundation for a hypothesis but without comparing we cannot know if the same factors are important across multiple cases. How to expand cases? use the same cause using multiple points in time uses cases that model the example but have no outcome. Method of difference most similar systems design (mss) Turkey vs. afghanistan both have resulted in religious violence trying to determine what creates different outcomes. Dependent = policy outcome policy outcomes are different even thought the cases are similar. Independent = cases should be similar to one another across many attributes except on the outcome of interest.

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