ECON 101 Lecture Notes - Lecture 2: Gross Domestic Product, Potential Output, Capital Accumulation

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Economics 101
Lori Leachman
Part 2 Lecture
Goal 3#: ECONOMIC GROWTH
o GDP - Gross Domestic Product - everything produced in economy (domestic and foreign) pin a
given amount of time (typically one year)
Market value in today’s currency - Nominal GDP
Market value in base year currency - Real GDP
Want actual = potential (want to be producing on PPC, shifting out over time)
Shift in PPC due to technology, capital accumulation, change in worker
productivity
o Why GDP matters
Increasing output and income
Increase in government revenue, more tax revenue (more people working, more money
made)
Keep up with debt burden/interest costs
Budget formulated on potential GDP (assumes fully employed economic system)
Growth with fewer or no opportunity costs
Policy makers face fewer trade offs & hard choices
o Want steady real GDP growth, and more output
o Measure GDP
Income approach - add all money earned
Expenditure approach - add all money spent (maps into four sectors of economy)
C: Consumption (65-70%)
I: Investment - fixed & inventory investment (10-15%)
G: Government - consolidated government (30-35%)
Xn: Net Exports (negative 7-10% we export more)
o What GDP misses
Value of do-it-yourself jobs
Resale of used goods (assumes comes back into GDP thru Consumption)
Excludes purely financial transactions (ex. stock sale on 2nd market)
Excludes transfers & gifts
Values delivery of goods/services @ cost (ex. police, fire... etc)
Does not account for quality changes
Does not account for changes in leisure
Does not account for resource depletion
Does not give any sense of distribution
o Sources of growth
Innovation
Capital accumulation
Increased worker productivity
Resource discovery
Market reform (by introducing more competition or improving government)
o The Business Cycle (BC)
GDP and growth create a business cycle over a period of time (around 10 years) in which
the economy passes thru four distinct phases of economic activity.
Graph of Real GDP by Time
Overall trend of increasing GDP
Four phases
Expansion & Peak
o Increasing and GDP potential
o Decreased unemployment and increased inflation
o Current account deficit increases - contractionary policy
Recession & Trough
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