INR 2002 Lecture 21: Lecture 21
Document Summary
In figure 3. 3, we see how bargaining changes in response to a shift in power due to external factors of the bargaining process. Today, state b is more powerful than state a. Now the best deal state b can get is smaller than its value for war yesterday. Because of these possibilities, it is in favor for state b to wage the war on the first day to prevent this power shift. If the balance of military capabilities is anticipated to change because of factors external to the bargaining process: ex; different rates of economic growth. This is the reason preventative wars are fought. Fighting now to prevent an adversary from becoming stronger tomorrow. Figure 3. 4 is very similar to 3. 3; basically, whoever attacks first, has the first-strike advantage : first-strike advantage when there is a considerable advantage to being the first to launch an attack. This is the reason preemptive wars are fought.
