SOCIOL 4508 Lecture Notes - Lecture 15: Logistic Regression, Construct Validity, Neurosis
19 Apr 2018
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Document Summary
Methods in predicting violence: _clinical_assessment, informal contemplation and sometimes, discussion with others in the work setting. _overattend_to information consistent with one"s hypothesis, and to _underattend_ to contradictory information. The result is that mistaken beliefs or conclusions, once formed, resist counterevidence: _statistical_ risk assessments, involves a formal, algorithmic, objective procedure to reach the decision, e. g. Personality inventory (mmpi), found that when compared to the diagnoses of 29 other judges, some of who had little or no prior experience with the mmpi and others were. Ph. d. psychologists with extensive mmpi experience, the actuarial decision rule exceeded the judges" mean accuracy level. A decision rule derived from one set of cases and then applied to a new sample correctly identified. No further inquiry into violence risk or special preventive actions are indicated (e. g. 60-yr-old depressed man with no violence history and no threats of violence: medium/moderate risk several risk factors present.
