01:830:321 Lecture Notes - Lecture 3: Confirmation Bias, Sampling Bias, Counterfactual Conditional
17 Oct 2017
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Document Summary
If you made a shot, you"d make more shots in the game. If you missed a shot, you"d miss more shots in the game. The reason why this myth exists is because players remember streaks - players don"t remember if they made one, missed one, made one, missed one, missed one (i. e. no pattern) Relatively resistant to disconfirmatory evidence ( perseverance effect ) Beliefs that enhance or protect our self-esteem are the ones that we are least likely to. Stated that people"s behaviors are not under their willful control. Perception results in action without the intervention of conscious thought - people found this concept intolerable and unacceptable. Anchoring & adjustment heuristic used as an anchor from which insufficient adjustment is made. Judgment of likelihood based on how easily examples are called. Motivation can be varied by manipulating outcome dependency. Resource availability can be varied by manipulating speed, competing tasks, or fatigue.
